October 27, 2008
ANTICIPATION IN THE MARKET
There is a lot of anticipation for today’s market openings, if you are into online stock trading. Around the world the indices have fallen, so I’m not anticipating much different here, based on the futures.
Retail sales are down, and the September Consumer Price Index is flat. The news in general is very bad, and, worse, I am hearing from friends, neighbors and even strangers about the amount of money they have lost in the last couple of weeks.
It’s very hard to find a good sector to go long in today. In fact, I want to go short in most. In fact, I am short in most. That’s probably the way I will stay. I have no short or even mid range time frame of confidence.
But that does not mean money cannot be made. It will certainly be a bit harder.
Tech is questionable. Automotive is in the dumps. Financial — forget it.
Even consumer stocks are risky to go long. They can go down further. That’s what’s frightening.
Listening to the presidential candidates give the ordinary online stock trading guy little to hang a hat on. Both don’t know economics. Not even the basics.
This means, really, that nobody is skippering the ship. Not now, and now when either of the two presidential candi-dates is elected.
This is becoming evident to even people like “Joe the Plumber”. Everybody is Joe the Plumber, and we are all see-ing that we are passengers on a ship that looks a lot like the Titanic, only without the band playing.
So do you try to hedge against even further drops, or do you capitulate and pull everything out?
I’m going to hold a few long positions in consumer stocks, such as Johnson & Johnson, but I’m going to hedge against those going down as well.
The tech stock sector is a mess. Some, such as IMB and Apple, show long term promise, and would be worth hold-ing long positions if you have the money.
Financial stocks are worth considering — some. Huntington City Bank is one regional bank with a very strong bal-ance sheet, and I understand that a lot of money if flowing in. Wells Fargo is strong as well. Bank of America has had trouble in the credit markets getting low cost money to finance its credit card business, but fundamentally it is a strong bank.
There are a number of regional banks that might be in danger of becoming insolvent, but I would not plan on putting any money in them anyway.
The Dow Average is down now over 200 points, so it does not look promising at the start.
Filed under Blog by admin
